Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record
Showing esports calls only: 50 counted. The weekly cap and qualification are judged on the whole season; a combo shows here when all its legs are esports. Form covers every call.
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-4.9u
units · 49 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (49 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-10%
per call · -7 pts vs odds
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
26–23
53% of 49 (at least 39%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
WWLLL
L3 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Esports49
26–23
-4.9u
-10%
49
Season Esports equity curve
49 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
Combos (3)
A combo is one 1u bet that wins only if every leg wins (a void leg drops out). It counts in the totals above like any other call. Up to 15 combos count each week, and each one uses one of the 30 weekly calls.
▸Combo · 4 legs19.44¢ · win pays +4.14uHanwha Life Esports · Karmine Corp · LYON · FURIA-1.00uLost
counts: combo 3 of 15 in week 5
Leg 1Hanwha Life Esports @ 60¢Hanwha Life Esports v Bilibili Gaming · LoL · Worlds Group Stage · Best of 3lostdecided it
Leg 2Karmine Corp @ 60¢Karmine Corp v Movistar KOI · LoL · Worlds Group Stage · Best of 3won
Leg 3LYON @ 75¢LOS v LYON · LoL · Worlds Group Stage · Best of 3won
Leg 4FURIA @ 72¢Nemiga v FURIA · Counter-Strike · PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs · Best of 5won
▸LoL: Hanwha Life Esports v G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group StageG2 Esports (Game 1) @ 48¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: G2 Esports (Game 1)
Reasoning: G2 are playing better during the early game of game 1 and there is a good chance they can snowball
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸LoL: Hanwha Life Esports v G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stagenot counted: copy freeze: in the final 48 hours of Season 2 only the first call on a pick counts, and Ecstasya called this first (call #6506, 2026-10-27 17:47 UTC) (owner ruling, Sep 30)G2 Esports @ 31¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: G2 Esports
Reasoning: G2 have proven that they can beat LCK teams throughout the year and they definitely can win vs HLE today
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Team Liquid (Game 2)
Reasoning: Better draft for Team Liquid in game 2. Easier in teamfights and better scaling overall.Confident TL will take it for a decider in game3
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
Posted
Fri, 30 Oct 2026 21:05:23 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Team Liquid (Game 2).
“Pick: LOS (Game 1)
Reasoning: LOS draft is easier to play in teamfights and scales better than TL for this game 1
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Counter-Strike: MOUZ v FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffsnot counted: copy freeze: in the final 48 hours of Season 2 only the first call on a pick counts, and yuujaaee called this first (call #6846, 2026-10-30 00:26 UTC) (owner ruling, Sep 30)MOUZ @ 60¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: MOUZ
Reasoning: MOUZ has been playing top of their game since a few tournaments and I expect another finals from them in this one as well
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team v FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsFURIA @ 63¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+59%win
“Pick: FURIA
Reasoning: FURIA is usually a hard match up for BB, they've won most of their previous encounters. FURIA has also been playing well lately. Confident they will win again today
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Counter-Strike: Vitality v Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsVitality @ 71¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+41%win
“Pick: Vitality
Reasoning: Vitality already outclassed NAVI 2-0 in this tournament and they should have no problem closing this out again
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming v MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsMOUZ @ 63¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+59%win
“Pick: MOUZ
Reasoning: MOUZ have been playing exceptionally well lately and Aurora have shown fatigue after participating in many T1 events in a short time. Expecting 2-0 or 2-1 for Mouz in this match-up
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Counter-Strike: FUT Esports v Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsFUT Esports @ 48¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: FUT Esports
Reasoning: FUT started strong on Nuke 9-3 and threw their lead in T-side. This was Nemiga pick and ended up being very close. I expect FUT to reverse sweep on the next two maps which are more in their favour
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸LoL: Top Esports v Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBilibili Gaming -1.5 games @ 49¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Bilibili Gaming -1.5
Reasoning: BLG started slow at worlds but have been playing better every match. They are the far superior team and should be able to win this match today 2-0
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Counter-Strike: FUT Esports v Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsFUT Esports -1.5 maps @ 66¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: FUT Esports -1.5
Reasoning: FUT firepower is world class at the moment and they should be able to win 2-0 vs Nemiga who recently started playing vs T1 and proved to be inconsistent at times
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: LYON
Reasoning: Better draft for Lyon in Game 3. Confident they will be able to close it out here especially with the mid pick
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: T1 (Game 2)
Reasoning: MKOI had a better draft game 1 and could not capitalize on it as T1 skill gap was too big. I expect the same to happen game 2
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸LoL: Movistar KOI v T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group StageMovistar KOI (Game 1) @ 26¢ → sold 46¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+77%win
“Pick: Movistar KOI (Game 1)
Reasoning: Better draft for MKOI in this game 1. Even if T1 is a superior team, the draft gap can make a big difference here
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
Posted
Wed, 28 Oct 2026 20:11:52 UTC
Outcome
Closed early by the caller at 46¢, +20¢ on the 26¢ entry.
▸LoL: Team Liquid v Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group StageAnyone's Legend (Game 2) @ 61¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Anyone's Legend (Game 2)
Reasoning: AL is seed1 LPL and I don't see them losing 0-2 and being out of worlds already vs a team coming from LCS
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸LoL: Team Liquid v Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group StageAnyone's Legend (Game 1) @ 66¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Anyone's Legend (Game 1)
Reasoning: Better draft for Anyone's Legend. Skarner massively out scales lee sin, same for yunara lulu vs Lucian milio
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: LOS (Game 2)
Reasoning: Better draft and scaling for LOS in this game 2. If TSW doesn't snowball hard early, LOS will be able to close it out easily
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸LoL: LOS v Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group StageTeam Secret Whales @ 66¢ → sold 39¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-41%loss
“Pick: Team Secret Whales
Reasoning: TSW stomped their region and have proven to be competitive and win versus top team like TES during MSI. LOS represents CBLOL which is the region with the lowest level overall
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
Posted
Mon, 26 Oct 2026 06:55:38 UTC
Outcome
Closed early by the caller at 39¢, -27¢ on the 66¢ entry.
▸LoL: Team Liquid v Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group StageAnyone's Legend @ 72¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Anyone's Legend
Reasoning: AL is seed1 LPL and beat BLG during the playoffs. This is an elimination match and they will want to make up for their poor performance at worlds so far vs a team coming from LCS which doesn't have the best level
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Counter-Strike: TheMongolz v MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageMOUZ @ 76¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+32%win
“Pick: MOUZ
Reasoning: Mouz is a better team overall and are looking even better with their roster change. They recently won tier1 event and are capable of winning against the best teams in the world. This should be a comfortable match for them
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Counter-Strike: Spirit v FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageSpirit @ 65¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+54%win
“Pick: Spirit
Reasoning: Spirit star player donk hasn't performed well lately. He is #1 rifler and when his firepower is on, spirit is almost unbeatable. Confident that he will wake up during this tournament
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: 9z
Reasoning: 9z is a superior team overall with in insane firepower when feeling confident. They haven't performed well lately but they can surely get their confidence back vs a team like Tyloo
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Counter-Strike: Nemiga v Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageAurora Gaming @ 72¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+39%win
“Pick: Aurora Gaming
Reasoning: Aurora has been performing very well with their recent roster change and I expect them to win vs Nemiga who is a tier 1,5/2 team
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Counter-Strike: Vitality v FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageVitality @ 75¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Vitality
Reasoning: Vitality is getting back to its peak form and I expect them to have a good chance at winning PGL masters Bucharest. Their firepower should je too much for FUT today
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: LYON
Reasoning: Better draft and scaling for LYON in game 3. I see them winning if they can hold past 30min
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸LoL: Top Esports v G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group StageG2 Esports @ 53¢ → sold 22¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-58%loss
“Pick: G2 Esports
Reasoning: G2 plays toe to toe against the best teams in the world and has a better macro overall. TES relies more heavily on individual skill but G2 can easily match it. Confident G2 will take the win
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
Posted
Sun, 25 Oct 2026 17:57:47 UTC
Outcome
Closed early by the caller at 22¢, -31¢ on the 53¢ entry.
▸LoL: Hanwha Life Esports v Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageHanwha Life Esports @ 73¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Hanwha Life Esports
Reasoning: HLE is top 2 contender to win worlds this year. They just lost to Gen.G and will want to make up for it against IG which is a much weaker team overall
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸LoL: Team Liquid v Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBilibili Gaming @ 76¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+32%win
“Pick: Bilibili Gaming
Reasoning: BLG should be able to bounce back vs TLAW even if not in good form at the moment
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Gen.G
Reasoning: Both teams have a similar level but Gen.G draft gives the edge here. Confident Gen.G jungle supp will make the difference
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸LoL: Invictus Gaming v Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group StageInvictus Gaming @ 71¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+41%win
“Pick: Invictus Gaming
Reasoning: IG roster has a lot of experience are worlds and I expect them to outclass TSW today
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Karmine Corp
Reasoning: KC has momentum coming from play-ins and they are close to hitting their peak level. They beta the LPL seed 1 yesterday and I'm confident they can win and go 2-0
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1243548 Picking G2 at 84c G2 will want to make up for the throw yesterday vs DK and avoid going 0-2 in swiss stage #NFA”
Posted
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 18:50:27 UTC
Outcome
Closed early by the caller at 90¢, +6¢ on the 84¢ entry.
▸LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster v Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group StageMovistar KOI @ 69¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+45%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1243525 Picking MKOI at 69c MKOI seems to have more synergy and to be the more solid team overall, I don't see CFO winning against them #NFA”
▸LoL: Team Liquid v CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group StageTeam Liquid @ 73¢ → sold 73¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+0%void
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1214239 Picking Team Liquid at 73c TL won LCS finals against LYON and they're a solid team. They're quite underestimated coming into worlds and I think they actually have a decent chance to make it out of swiss stage. #NFA”
Posted
Fri, 23 Oct 2026 22:03:50 UTC
Outcome
Closed early by the caller at 73¢, +0¢ on the 73¢ entry.
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1214242 Picking G2 at 40c G2 hit their peak lvl during the LEC playoffs and DK have fallen off from their peak at EWC. I'm confident G2 will make a big difference with their macro as they've shown to be very disciplined and DK rather inconsistent lately #NFA”
▸LoL: Anyone's Legend v Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group StageKarmine Corp @ 34¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+194%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1214241 Picking KC at 34c They went through the play-ins and had time to get comfortable and more confident + they already beat AL at EWC #NFA”
▸LoL: Bilibili Gaming v Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBilibili Gaming @ 83¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage Picking BLG at 83c BLG is the clear favourite going into this match. Knight and Viper are easily top3 world in their respective lane and I am confident they will outclass MKOI #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1214246”
▸LoL: Hanwha Life Esports v Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group StageHanwha Life Esports @ 79¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+27%win
“LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage Picking HLE at 79c HLE is a strong contender to win worlds this year and TES is playing with a sub top who hasn't played lol in months vs Zeus who is the top 1 at this role #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1214243”
“LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage Picking Gen.G at 72c I prefer their draft and Gen.G is the much better team overall. I expect them to go 3-0 during the swiss stage and confident they will have a strong start #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1214238”
▸LoL: Karmine Corp v MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-InKarmine Corp -1.5 games @ 77¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+30%win
“LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In Picking KC -1,5 at 77c I don't see MVK taking more than one game against KC. The skill and macro gap is too big between these two. Confident KC will also play closer to its peak as this is the most important match in the history of the club so far. #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1207730”
Posted
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 16:34:00 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Karmine Corp -1.5 games.
“LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In Picking C9 at 83c I think Furia has shown the worst level at play-in so far. They were competitve against C9 in the past but I don't see it happening today. Confident that C9 will take it 3-0 or 3-1 but picking moneyline if Furia decides to wake up for a closer series. #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1197462”
Posted
Fri, 16 Oct 2026 13:26:12 UTC
Outcome
Closed early by the caller at 92¢, +9¢ on the 83¢ entry.
“LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In Picking KC at 84c MVK went 3-0 against Furia yesterday but Furia played awfully and I don't think MVK will be able to play the same way against KC. Confident the skill and macro gap from KC will shut down MVK #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1197460”
▸Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming v 9z (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group AAurora Gaming @ 69¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+45%win
“Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) Picking Aurora at 69c Previous match during the same event went 2-0 for 9z yet it felt like Aurora didnt really play and were tired from ESL Pro League that happened few days prior to this one. Aurora has shown much better form in their next match and I am confident they play much better in this rematch. #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1194512”
▸Counter-Strike: Legacy v BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy @ 63¢ → sold 52¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-17%loss
“Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) Picking Legacy at 63c Legacy is one of the best CS teams at the moment. They have been able to win events against the best teams in the world and their peak level can rival top 1. On the contrary BetBoom fell off since the Major. Lots of confidence for Legacy to win today #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1196836”
Posted
Fri, 16 Oct 2026 13:17:07 UTC
Outcome
Closed early by the caller at 52¢, -11¢ on the 63¢ entry.
▸Counter-Strike: Astralis v MIBR (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III PlayoffsMIBR @ 58¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+72%win
“Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MIBR (BO3) Picking MIBR at 57c Astralis just made two roster changes and I am confident MIBR line-up will be able to close this out as they have been competitive even during T1 events against much better teams #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1196576”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1167258 Picking Furia at 75c I've watched quite a bit of CBlol during the playoffs and Furia played surprisingly quite well. They lost the finals in a super close 2-3 bo5 against LOS and it could have gone either way. On the opposite MVK esports has not shown any similar quality in terms of macro and laning phase during decisive matches in their respective league, …”
“Second match: LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group Pick: GEN Odds: 64c Analysis: GEN is known to be very consistent in their macro and lane control. They're a stable team with world class talent on every lane. T1 is also world class but much less stable, and they've been shaky recently in their decision-making & execution. GEN is usually very good at punishing teams that are off-ry…”
▸LoL: Bilibili Gaming v LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming @ 85.5¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+17%win
“First match: LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Pick: BLG Odds: 86c Analysis: BLG is currently 2nd in the Global Power Ranking and finished 1st and 2nd at the two international events. They are also in strong form in the current split (3-0) which is the most important to qualify to Worlds. Each player is world class apart from the recent top change. LGD has historically …”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-616463 Pick: Falcons Odds: 59c This is the CS major finals and Falcons already beat pretty much all the best teams in the toughest bracket (Navi, Vitality, Spirit). Furia reached the finals against much easier opponents. Confident that Falcons will win this”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-584928 Pick: Falcons Odds: 71c Confidence: 85% I think falcons is just a superior team. They should be able to control the veto and win with better strategy and more experience <@354372727177609226> could you add it to the site? Game is over and pick is lost but shared it in the wrong channel so didn\'t register”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-584896 Pick: The Mongolz Live odds: 74c Confidence: 80c The Mongolz has too much firepower for B8 and is used to play against top tier 1 teams. I expect a clean 2-0”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-577547 pick: Vitality live odds: 60c Confidence: 70% Low stake Vitality is the greatest CS team of all time and they are down 1-0 here which justifies the better odds. I think they will come back and win 2-1”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-573764 Pick: B8 Odds: 55c Last elimination match of the stage 2. B8 firepower should be far superior than BIG and I expect them to qualify here”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-573738 Elimination match between paiN and Monte today Live pick: paiN Odds: 59c Australis underperformed yesterday but paiN always played really well Monte has shown some shakiness during the major and I think paiN will be able to take advantage of it here to close it out and qualify Confidence: 70%”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-570657 Pick: G2 Odds: 74c G2 is used to play against the world\'s best and they are facing a tier2 team for a qualification to the stage 3. Confidence: 80%”
“Elimination match between Astralis & paiN Pick: Astralis Odds: 61c Astralis is the clear favourite going into this game even if they\'ve been underperforming during the major so far. I see them playing better today vs paiN and winning Confidence: 80%”
▸LoL LPL Playoffs — Anyone’s Legend v Bilibili Gaming (BO5)Over 3.5 maps @ 66¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“LoL: Anyone\'s Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Pick: +3,5 maps BLG is the superior team here but I don\'t see AL not taking at least 1 map Odds: 66c https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-565815”
“CS Major stage 2, G2 vs FUT Bo3 qualification match for stage 3 Live pick: FUT Odds: 71c Was waiting to see G2 & FUT form in map 1. G2 star player is underperforming and FUT individual firepower made the difference. I expect it to continue and FUT to win either 2-0 or 2-1”
“Taking the risk on it LEC playoffs bo5 finals KC vs G2 Live pick: KC Confidence: 65% KC swept MKOI 3-0 yesterday and I\'m confident they have the momentum to finally win vs G2 today”
“Another elimination match in stage 1 of the CS Major. Going for TYLOO once again here Better Veto for them today and I believe their firepower will make the difference”
