Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-1.44u
units · 3 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (3 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-47.9%
per call · vs odds needs 5 calls
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
1–2
33% of 3 (at least 6%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LLW
W1 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Basketball3
1–2
-1.44u
-48%
3
Season equity curve
3 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1134319 Picking Moneyline CLE 63¢ or lower. #NFA Safe pick with value still. Much safer than the spread. Still no harden but Tyson and Watson look like a good dui to run with for the cavs.”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1129232 SAS -6.5 #NFA Spurs starters AND end of bench both have a large gap over the suns quality of players. sun\'s third game spurs second. Also Dillon Brooks was the leading scorer for suns last game kind of sad.”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1125498 Picking the Aces while even at the worst price right now because Aja Wilson is on an absolute tear and the Valkyries best players cant deal with the size on Las Vegas. #NFA”
