Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-0.75u
units · 2 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (2 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-37.5%
per call · vs odds needs 5 calls
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
1–1
50% of 2 (at least 9%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
WWWWL
L1 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Esports1
1–0
—
—
1 · under 3
Football1
0–1
—
—
1 · under 3
Season equity curve
2 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
“Picking france at 68c Italy hasn\'t qualified for the World Cup in like 5 years, France is a titan in their category. #Nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1047243”
▸Valorant: Global Esports v EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group BGlobal Esports @ 80¢Traded on JupiterMarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)+25%win
“Global Esports arrived to Shanghai, won their first match against Vitality, and they're riding momentum going into this. The market isn't paying for EDG's trophy case, it's paying for who's performing right now. Picking Global Esports at 73c #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1086067”
“Real Madrid - Málaga <:crycat:1239862662251286628> My Málaga guys won't be able to handle the Madrid pressure, they've started the season in the negative, facing Atletico de Madrid as their first game (lost) second game tied and now against Real Madrid. for now they're the new ones in the first division and they're taking hits from all sides. picking Madrid at 88c #NFA https://jup.ag/predic…”
“Barcelona opened the season with a 5-0 away win over Elche. Raphinha and Fermín López both scored twice. Hansi Flick is chasing a third straight La Liga title and the team started the campaign in full destruction mode. Picking Barcelona at 77c #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-847257”
“Real Madrid has won their last 6 straight La Liga matches against Real Sociedad. Last meeting at the Bernabéu: 2-1. The one before that: 4-1. The Real Sociedad guys have no chance against Real Madrid in La liga Picking Real Madrid at 75c #NFA #CLOSE https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-842328”
“Odds have Rayo as favorites (43%) but those numbers assume a home factor that doesn't exist today. Rayo is playing at Butarque due to a league sanction. Borrowed stadium, no home crowd, zero pressure on the opponent. Alavés is on a hot streak and Rayo is struggling after their loss against Sevilla Picking Alavés at 27c #NFA #CLOSE https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-809625”
“my first prediction, La Liga just started, I'm from Málaga and we just got promoted to the first division, but the guys are very young and might feel the pressure, the first league match is against a titan, Atlético de Madrid in recent years and matches Atlético de Madrid has won, even though Málaga is very fired up, it's still an immature team. Picking Atlético de Madrid at 76c #NFA #CLOSE ht…”
Posted
Mon, 17 Aug 2026 15:41:34 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Club Atlético de Madrid.
