Showing basketball calls only: 4 counted. The weekly cap and qualification are judged on the whole season; a combo shows here when all its legs are basketball. Form covers every call.
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-0.32u
units · 4 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (4 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-8.1%
per call · vs odds needs 5 calls
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
2–2
50% of 4 (at least 15%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LWWL
L1 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Basketball4
2–2
-0.32u
-8%
4
Season Basketball equity curve
4 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
“🏀 Picking Heat at 57¢ The Heat are sitting at 56.5% while the Hornets are at 43.5%. Miami looks like the stronger side here, and I’m backing them to get the job done. Charlotte could make it competitive, but at 57¢, I’m leaning toward the Heat to come out on top. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1208439 #NFA”
“76ers ML @ 57¢ 🔗 https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1197295 I’m leaning towards the 76ers here, who are trading at around a 56.5% implied win probability. Philadelphia is the market favourite, and at 57¢, I’m backing them to get the job done. Cleveland could make this competitive, but I like the value on Philadelphia here. #nfa”
“Hornets ML @ 52¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1191464 I’m taking the Hornets here because the matchup looks fairly balanced, with Charlotte slightly ahead at 51.5%. At 52¢, this is a close call, but I’m leaning Hornets to get the win if they can capitalize on their chances. Not a high-confidence play, but the price makes it an interesting pick. #nfa”
“🏀 **76ers vs. Knicks** 🔗 https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1185701 🎯 **Pick: Knicks to Win @ 63¢** I’m backing the Knicks because they have the stronger win probability at the current market price. Their ability to control the pace, create quality shots, and execute in key moments makes them my pick to beat Philadelphia. At 63¢, I’m taking New York to get the win. #NFA”
