Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
+0.38u
units · 2 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (2 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
+19%
per call · vs odds needs 5 calls
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
1–1
50% of 2 (at least 9%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
WL
L1 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Esports1
1–0
—
—
1 · under 3
Football1
0–1
—
—
1 · under 3
Season equity curve
2 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
“Call me crazy but I’m going with Liverpool to pull off the upset here. Anfield is never an easy place to visit, especially in a fixture of this magnitude. The home crowd could play a huge role, and Liverpool’s aggressive pressing could make life difficult for City. I’m backing Liverpool to rise to the occasion and get the job done at home. #NFA #DYOR https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1095787”
“Sports: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) – ESL Pro League Playoffs Picking up MOUZ at 41¢ 👀 #nfa #doingonlyforchallange https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1160802 Momentum is on MOUZ's side: They already beat Spirit 2–0 earlier in this tournament, proving they can compete at the highest level. If they bring that same form into the playoffs, there's value in backing MOUZ to pull off another win.”
