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orange_smoke
@orange_smoke · record complete since capture began: losses and pendings included, always
Season 1From-zero season record (ended) · Jul 22 to Sep 30 · earlier calls at the bottom · Season 2 record
Showing other calls only: 17 counted. The weekly cap and qualification are judged on the whole season. Form covers every call.
Profit
+5.92u
units · 17 priced calls
ROI
+34.8%
per call
Record
16–1
94% of 17
Form
WWWWL
L1 streak
Season Other equity curve
17 graded
Season record (18)
Elon Musk # tweets September 28 - September 30, 2026?yes for 40-64 @ 85¢+18%win
“Elon Musk # tweets September 28 - September 30, 2026? Taking yes for 40-64 @85c Less than 9 tweets in 2 hours seems likely considering amount he has been tweeting recent mornings #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1086166”
- Posted
- Wed, 30 Sep 2026 14:03:26 UTC
Elon Musk # tweets September 28 - September 30, 2026?no for 65-89 @ 83¢+20%win
“Elon Musk # tweets September 28 - September 30, 2026? Taking no for 65-89 @83c More than 9 tweets in next 3 hours seems unlikely considering amount he has been tweeting recent morings #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1086166”
- Posted
- Wed, 30 Sep 2026 13:35:49 UTC
Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?no for 920-959 @ 89¢ → sold 99.4¢+12%win
“Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026? Taking no for 920-959 @89c over 100 tweets in remaining time would take a tweet storm #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-984490”
- Posted
- Tue, 29 Sep 2026 05:05:07 UTC
Elon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?yes for 180-199 @ 77¢+30%win
“Elon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026? Taking yes for 180-199 @76c 19 tweets in next 12 hours seems very unlikely #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1046194”
- Posted
- Tue, 29 Sep 2026 04:34:55 UTC
Elon Musk # tweets September 26 - September 28, 2026?yes for 40-64 @ 73¢+37%win
“Elon Musk # tweets September 26 - September 28, 2026? Taking yes for 40-64 @73c Elon watching starship launch and not tweeting much for next 2 hours #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1074563”
- Posted
- Mon, 28 Sep 2026 13:56:57 UTC
Elon Musk # tweets September 24 - September 26, 2026?yes for 40-64 @ 88¢+14%win
“Elon Musk # tweets September 24 - September 26, 2026? Taking yes for 40-64 @88c Seems likely he will tweet more than 7 times and less than 32 in next 15hrs #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1059322”
- Posted
- Sat, 26 Sep 2026 01:18:11 UTC
Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026?180-199 yes @ 52¢+92%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-868899 Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026? Yes for 180-199 @ 52c #NFA”
- Posted
- Thu, 27 Aug 2026 17:01:36 UTC
What will Trump say during remarks at NASA?no for Elon / Musk @ 86¢+16%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-906672 What will Trump say during remarks at NASA? Taking no for Elon / Musk @ 86c #NFA”
- Posted
- Tue, 25 Aug 2026 02:16:35 UTC
Elon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?yes for 320-339 @ 73¢+37%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-851800 Elon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026? Taking yes for 320-339 @ 73c #NFA”
- Posted
- Tue, 25 Aug 2026 01:49:53 UTC
What will Trump say during remarks at NASA?yes for mission @ 89¢+12%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-906672 What will Trump say during remarks at NASA? Taking yes for mission @ 89c #NFA”
- Posted
- Tue, 25 Aug 2026 01:43:26 UTC
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?No for August @ 89.5¢ → sold 100¢+12%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-681406 Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal? Taking No for August @ 90c #NFA”
- Posted
- Sat, 08 Aug 2026 13:30:40 UTC
Elon Musk # tweets August 6 - August 8, 2026?40 yes @ 30¢ → sold 37.5¢+25%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-791357 Elon Musk # tweets August 6 - August 8, 2026? <40 taking yes @ 30c #NFA”
- Posted
- Sat, 08 Aug 2026 00:25:19 UTC
Elon Musk # tweets August 6 - August 8, 2026?not counted: entry 9¢ below the 10¢ minimum65-89 yes @ 9¢-100%loss
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-791357 Elon Musk # tweets August 6 - August 8, 2026? 65-89 taking yes @ 9c #NFA”
- Posted
- Fri, 07 Aug 2026 22:09:22 UTC
Elon Musk # tweets July 31 - August 7, 2026?180-199 yes @ 87¢+15%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-759300 Elon Musk # tweets July 31 - August 7, 2026? 180-199 Taking yes @ 87c on average he does not tweet much at all during remaining hours for this market #NFA”
- Posted
- Fri, 07 Aug 2026 12:17:31 UTC
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?800 - 900m yes @ 37¢+170%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-715500 "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31? 800 - 900m Taking yes @ 37c #NFA”
- Posted
- Fri, 07 Aug 2026 11:16:04 UTC
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?900m+ no @ 37¢+170%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-715500 "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31? 900m+ Taking no @ 37c #NFA”
- Posted
- Fri, 07 Aug 2026 11:06:41 UTC
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)170-180m no @ 90¢+11%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-803818 "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes) 170-180m taking no @ 90c from memory the estimates are often way over the outcome for these movie markets so hoping this is a safe one 🙏 #NFA”
- Posted
- Thu, 06 Aug 2026 20:50:51 UTC
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6?Up @ 35¢-100%loss
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-800909 taking up @ 35c #NFA”
- Posted
- Thu, 06 Aug 2026 18:30:08 UTC