Showing basketball calls only: 10 counted. The weekly cap and qualification are judged on the whole season; a combo shows here when all its legs are basketball. Form covers every call.
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-7.83u
units · 10 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (10 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-78.3%
per call · -41 pts vs odds
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
1–9
10% of 10 (at least 2%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LLLLW
W1 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Basketball10
1–9
-7.83u
-78.3%
10
Season Basketball equity curve
10 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
Season record (21)
▸Pistons v Netsnot counted: over the 30-call limit for the final week of Season 2 (owner ruling, Oct 30): the first 30 calls posted from Oct 29 count, by posting time; this one was #107Pistons @ 74¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+35%win
“Pick: Pistons
Reasoning: Detroit are 4-1, including 2-1 on the road with wins in Philadelphia and Miami. Brooklyn are 0-4 and are without Egor Demin. The Pistons are missing Jalen Duren, but they still have the deeper roster and much better form against a winless team.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Bulls v Celticsnot counted: over the 30-call limit for the final week of Season 2 (owner ruling, Oct 30): the first 30 calls posted from Oct 29 count, by posting time; this one was #104Bulls @ 12¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Bulls
Reasoning: Boston are heavy favourites after beating Chicago 134-99, but the Bulls have shown they can score, putting up 127 against New York and 132 in Milwaukee. The Celtics needed overtime to beat winless Brooklyn by one point at home. At this price the upset only needs one hot shooting night.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Hornets v Wizardsnot counted: over the 30-call limit for the final week of Season 2 (owner ruling, Oct 30): the first 30 calls posted from Oct 29 count, by posting time; this one was #103Hornets @ 48¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Hornets
Reasoning: Charlotte are 3-2 and beat Washington 110-103 four days ago, while the Wizards have lost their last two and are 2-3. Washington are without Champagnie, Vukcevic and Watkins, and Tre Johnson is day-to-day. Charlotte are missing Knueppel and Coby White, but they already have the upper hand in this matchup.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Trail Blazers v Jazznot counted: over the 30-call limit for the final week of Season 2 (owner ruling, Oct 30): the first 30 calls posted from Oct 29 count, by posting time; this one was #78Jazz @ 30¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Jazz
Reasoning: Portland play Memphis the night before, so they arrive on a back-to-back. Utah are at home and played the Grizzlies close in a 110-105 loss. Portland are without Shaedon Sharpe and Chris Youngblood. With the Blazers tired, the home underdog at this price is worth backing, even with Markkanen a doubt.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Clippers v Timberwolvesnot counted: over the 30-call limit for the final week of Season 2 (owner ruling, Oct 30): the first 30 calls posted from Oct 29 count, by posting time; this one was #68Clippers @ 29¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Clippers
Reasoning: Minnesota are without Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo and have lost two straight, including a home defeat to Golden State. The Clippers are on a three-game skid but beat Denver and Sacramento before it. Without their best player, the Wolves look overpriced, and the Clippers at this price are worth it.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Lakers v Warriorsnot counted: over the 30-call limit for the final week of Season 2 (owner ruling, Oct 30): the first 30 calls posted from Oct 29 count, by posting time; this one was #52Lakers @ 53¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Lakers
Reasoning: The Lakers are 4-1 with a +9.6 average margin and lead the league in field-goal and three-point shooting. They beat Golden State 127-105 on Oct 21 and are 7-2 in recent meetings. The Warriors are without Jimmy Butler, Kristaps Porzingis and Moses Moody. Both teams get one day of rest, and the Lakers are the better and healthier side.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Pacers v Heatnot counted: over the 30-call limit for the final week of Season 2 (owner ruling, Oct 30): the first 30 calls posted from Oct 29 count, by posting time; this one was #51Pacers @ 34¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Pacers
Reasoning: Miami are 1-4 and 0-3 at home, losing to Minnesota by 25 and Detroit by 17. Indiana are 2-1 on the road, with wins at New Orleans and by 27 at Brooklyn. Fontecchio is day-to-day for Miami. A winless home side priced as a clear favourite over a team that has travelled well is the value spot.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Knicks v 76ersnot counted: over the 30-call limit for the final week of Season 2 (owner ruling, Oct 30): the first 30 calls posted from Oct 29 count, by posting time; this one was #5076ers @ 55¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+82%win
“Pick: 76ers
Reasoning: Philadelphia are 4-1 and already beat New York 106-100 at the Garden on Oct 20. Maxey is scoring 28.4 a night, Embiid is off the injury report, and the roster adds LeBron James and Jaylen Brown. The Sixers are at home with two days of rest. The Knicks are 2-3 and without Jose Alvarado. Home side, better form, and they have already won the matchup.
#nfa (submitted on communit…”
▸Magic v Raptorsnot counted: over the 30-call limit for the final week of Season 2 (owner ruling, Oct 30): the first 30 calls posted from Oct 29 count, by posting time; this one was #49Raptors @ 67¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Raptors
Reasoning: Toronto beat Orlando 129-99 in the same building two nights ago and are 2-0 at home. Orlando are 1-3 and without Paolo Banchero, Jalen Suggs, Jonathan Isaac, Noah Penda and Izaiyah Nelson. Against a team they just beat by 30, with the opponent this short of players, the Raptors at home are a strong pick.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Grizzlies v Trail Blazersnot counted: over the 30-call limit for the final week of Season 2 (owner ruling, Oct 30): the first 30 calls posted from Oct 29 count, by posting time; this one was #43Grizzlies @ 28¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+257%win
“Pick: Grizzlies
Reasoning: Memphis are 4-0 with no injuries, holding opponents to 107 points a game. Portland are on the second night of a back-to-back after a 136-129 shootout with the Lakers, and they are without Shaedon Sharpe. Ty Jerome is averaging close to 30 and Edey and Boozer control the glass. An unbeaten, fully healthy side at this price is too big.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Kings v Pelicansnot counted: over the 30-call limit for the final week of Season 2 (owner ruling, Oct 30): the first 30 calls posted from Oct 29 count, by posting time; this one was #37Pelicans @ 69¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+45%win
“Pick: Pelicans
Reasoning: Both teams are 0-4, but Sacramento have lost most of theirs by double digits and have a -17.8 point differential, worst in the league. They are on the road on a back-to-back without Keegan Murray and Ben Simmons. New Orleans lost three of their four by six points or less and are at home. Zion and Dejounte Murray should have enough here.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag…”
“Pick: Cavaliers
Reasoning: Cleveland at 50c. The Cavaliers are 3-1 with three straight wins, most recently 121-111 over Washington on Oct 28, and Mitchell averages 26.7 points. Atlanta have lost three in a row, the latest 117-129 at home to Miami, and are without Gueye and Veesaar with Wiggins day-to-day. Both teams are on a back-to-back, and Atlanta won the last meeting 124-102.
#nfa (submitted o…”
“Pick: Timberwolves
Reasoning: Minnesota are 3-1 with a +68 point differential, winning at Miami by 25, at Orlando by 22 and at home over Toronto by 23 before a 127-125 overtime loss at Cleveland, with the second-ranked defense in the league. Anthony Edwards is out for up to two months, but Gobert, Ball, McDaniels, Dosunmu and Kuminga are healthy and the team is at home at Target Center. Golden Sta…”
“Pick: Lakers
Reasoning: Lakers have the edge at home with Luka Doncic leading an efficient offense. Portland’s strong rebounding makes this competitive, but I’m backing LA’s scoring firepower.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Wizards
Reasoning: Both teams sit 2-1 but Washington’s offense has been far sharper (118 PPG vs Charlotte’s 102). Trae Young is rolling at 22.3/11.3 and the Hornets are still missing Coby White, Kon Knueppel and Grant Williams. Market has Charlotte as a clear favorite at home, yet the injury gap and early scoring edge give the Wizards real value at this price.
#nfa (submitted on community.ju…”
“NBA Preseason: Warriors vs. Lakers I'm Picking Lakers here at 54¢ Lakers enter as the slight favorite with Luka Dončić available after sitting the prior matchup that Golden State dominated 124-98. Warriors are missing Butler, Porzingis, Moody and resting Horford, while LA holds the better preseason record and home-court feel in Vegas. #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1146953”
“NBA Preseason: Cavaliers vs. Magic I'm Picking Cavaliers here at 54¢ Cleveland already beat Orlando 119-105 a few days ago and sits as the slight sportsbook favourite (-1.5). The Cavs are expected to give their starters more minutes tonight while the Magic are still missing key pieces (Black out, Isaac out). #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1145739”
“Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte Hornets I'm Picking Bucks here at 43¢ Hornets are missing a pile of rotation pieces (White, Williams, Knueppel and more) and just got blown out by the Nets. Bucks are 1-1 with a road win at OKC and have more healthy bodies to work with. #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1134320”
“Minnesota Timberwolves vs New York Knicks I'm picking Minnesota Timberwolves here at 46¢. Minnesota has looked sharper in preseason, winning 2 of its first 3 games, including a narrow 125–124 win over Miami. The Knicks, meanwhile, have lost their first 2 preseason games. New York has home-court advantage, but Minnesota's early offensive rhythm gives them a shot at the upset. Since this is pres…”
“NBA Preseason: Clippers vs. Raptors I'm Picking Clippers here at 39¢ Raptors sit as 62c favorites but Kawhi remains out while ramping up, and they got blown out 129-105 by Miami in their opener. Clippers already have a tight 104-101 win over Golden State with Hachimura and Garland looking sharp early; both sides are short-handed but LAC’s young pieces and recent form give the underdog clearer valu…”
“Sports: Knicks vs 76ers I’m picking Knicks here at 63. This is preseason, so rotations matter a lot. The Sixers are resting LeBron, Embiid, Maxey and Simons, while the Knicks are bringing back most of their championship core. Even with limited minutes for the starters, I trust the Knicks’ continuity more here. I think they can take this one on the road. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1100852 #…”
