nerianaa_Returning: called in Season 1mostly one call: More than half of this view's profit comes from one call: China Open: Elise Mertens v Iga Swiatek, entry 20c, +4u
Showing tennis calls only: 28 counted. The weekly cap and qualification are judged on the whole season; a combo shows here when all its legs are tennis. Form covers every call.
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
+7.39u
units · 28 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (28 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
+26.4%
per call · +8 pts vs odds
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
14–14
50% of 28 (at least 33%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LWLWW
W2 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Tennis28
14–14
+7.39u
+26.4%
28
Season Tennis equity curve
28 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
“Guangzhou 2: James McCabe vs Elias Ymer https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1206117 James McCabe to win at 49c James’ record sits at 27–26 overall, including 12–17 on outdoor hard courts, big advantage is that he’s already won the first set 6-0 and lost only on a tie break second set Going strong in the third with somewhat better stats, with a stronger record on hard courts and in general I think he…”
▸Japan Women's Open, Qualification: Sinja Kraus v Sofia KeninSinja Kraus @ 56.5¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+77%win
“Japan Women's Open, Qualification: Sinja Kraus vs Sofia Kenin https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1204508 Sinja Kraus to win at 48c Strong ranking and record at 46-27 And a hard court record at 17-12 which is stronger than her opponents (8-24 and 4-15 hard court) She has shown in her previous games she can win in 3 sets so she can recover from a losing set Even tho her best results have come from cl…”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1193388 Wuhan Tennis Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Maria Sakkari Maria Sakkari to win at 47c Sakkari is best on hard court and has a stronger first strike game, was a bit concerned when I saw her lose first set 0-6 but second sets he’s 3-0 H2H they’re actually 1-1 She has 65% first serve points with 3 Aces per match whereas her opponent is 60% with 0.7 Beat Donna Veki…”
“Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Liam Draxl https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1193565 Tomas Machac to win at 49c Better ranking position and form has more experience in ATP, and went through quarter finals beating Alexandre Muller and Aleksander Vukic, 50% win rate on hard court too, not the best I’ve seen but for the odds it’s not actually that bad #nfa”
“Catania: Pavel Lagutin vs Massimo Giunta https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1182242 Massimo Giunta to win at 54c Very competitive on clay courts (24-12 win record on clay this year) Beat Henry Searle from a set down clutching 6-2 6-2 First head to head meeting so he has to use clay to has advantage and his resilience if he ever goes a set down it’s not the first time he’s made an upset, he’s also …”
“Mallorca: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Nuria Brancaccio https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1182091 Andrea Lazaro Garcia to win at 49c Higher ranking with a 2-1 head to head advantage She is mainly strong on clay and capitalizes on second serve From what I’ve seen this game is 1-1 she only lost a tie break first set and dominated the second set, she is also currently on a 1 point advantage so I see this …”
Posted
Thu, 15 Oct 2026 10:26:52 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Andrea Lazaro Garcia.
▸Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev v Jan-Lennard StruffDaniil Medvedev @ 57¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+75%win
“Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1154550 #nfa Daniil Mercedes to win at 57c Medvedev is the clear pick on outdoor hard court. Ranked No. 5 versus Struff at No. 59, he leads their ATP level head to head 9–2 and won their most recent meeting in Beijing 6–4, 6–3. His flat, deep groundstrokes and elite baseline consistency are well suited t…”
▸Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Talia Gibson v Sara Sorribes TormoTalia Gibson @ 35¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Talia Gibson vs Sara Sorribes Tormo https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1159861 #nfa Talia Gibson to win at 35c Gibson has the clear ranking advantage at No. 37 versus Sorribes Tormo at No. 194, and outdoor hard courts suit her aggressive game and stronger serve. Her hard court win rate is around 65% across her career, and she recently beat Maria Sakkari in Singapore…”
“Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Alycia Parks https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1159864 #nfa Alycia Parks to win at 57c Parks Parks has the clear ranking advantage at No. 70 versus Ito at No. 361, and her powerful serve is the biggest weapon on Wuhan’s outdoor hard court. She has hit 248 aces this season and won 66.7% of her service games. Wuhan’s relatively low altitude offers no spec…”
“Palermo: Massimo Giunta vs Alejandro Moro Canas https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1150843 #nfa Massimo Giunta to win at 43c Giunta has won three of his last four matches and beat third seed Gianluca Cadenasso in straight sets. His resilience on break points could keep this close on clay Won on a tie break too he can stand his ground for this final set although it is very close”
▸Antofagasta: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida v Joao Lucas Da SilvaMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida @ 55¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Antofagasta: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Joao Lucas Da Silva https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1150842 #nfa Pucinelli to win at 52c He won their latest meeting in Curitiba on September 30, 6–3, 4–6, 6–3. He also won his previous round in Antofagasta comfortably, 6–3, 6–3, showing strong clay court form”
“Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Pedro Martinez #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1156303 Pablo Llamas Ruiz to win at 27c with 23 wins from 31 matches on the surface. He also showed resilience in the previous round Martínez has the H2H advantage, but Llamas’s stronger 2026 clay record and recent comeback give him a narrow edge. Set-score expected: Llamas 2–1”
“Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1154548 #nfa Tiago Pereira to win at 23c Pereira has looked sharper in Braga, winning both matches in straight sets. His latest performance featured strong serving, winning 75% of first-serve points and holding all 11 service games. He also leads the H2H 2–1”
“Samsun: Simona Waltert vs Himeno Sakatsume https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1154308 #nfa Himeno Sakatsume to win at 26c Sakatsume leads their head-to-head 1–0, beating Waltert 6–4, 6–4 at Indian Wells qualifying, she has also won both matches in Samsun without dropping a set and has the stronger recent hard-court record; 6/10 confidence for an estimated endgame of 2-1”
“Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1152127 #nfa Zhou to win at 28c Zhou has home crowd support and already showed resilience by beating Mattia Bellucci in a deciding-set tiebreak. His serve can keep him competitive on hard court”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1147698 China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek #nfa Elise Mertens to win at 19c Mertens is playing with confidence after upsetting Coco Gauff 6–3, 6–3. Her aggressive shot selection and ability to absorb pressure give her an upset chance. And she almost just stole”
▸Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo v Roman SafiullinFrancisco Cerundolo @ 49¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+104%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1152123 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin #nfa Cerúndolo to win at 49c Cerúndolo has the ranking and recent H2H win, but Safiullin’s current form makes this a competitive matchup. Their overall head-to-head is reported as 1–1, so it’s not a dominant historical edge”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1148992 China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elina Svitolina #nfa Svitolina to win at 12c Confidence: 7/10. Zheng’s home crowd makes this tricky, but Svitolina’s fresher legs and steadier recent run give her the edge. First career meeting, so no H2H advantage for either player.”
“Porto 2: Henrique Rocha vs Inaki Montes https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1125315 #nfa Inaki Monte’s to win at 48c Higher ranking, home-country final, cleaner Porto run, and the extra rest from the semifinal walkover, they’ve never played either but the odds are looking in my favor”
▸Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka v Adolfo VallejoAdolfo Vallejo @ 17¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Adolfo Vallejo https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1125314 #nfa Adolfo Vallejo to win at 17c he came through qualifying and has now beaten Taro Daniel, Rafael Jodar and Matteo Berrettini, dropping only one set across those matches. Against Berrettini, he won 7–6, 6–1 and saved all three break points, played 5 matches in Tokyo already and hasn’t shown muc…”
“#nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1125318 Bari: Juan Martin vs Samuele Pieri Juan Martin to win at 69c He already beat Pieri 6–4, 6–2 in their September meeting, and he’s been dominant in Bari: four straight 2–0 wins, biggest factor is him already beating Pieri and the fact that he reached the final without dropping a set”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1123841 China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev #nfa De Minaur to win at 33c De Minaur has the edge in consistency and court coverage, he’s won both Beijing matches, including a comeback against Quentin Halys after losing the first set which backs my idea as he’s currently at a disadvantage on the first set”
“#nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1119916 China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov Hubert Hurkacz to win at 39c Hurkacz is serving well and has won both Beijing matches, including a tough 3 setter over Arthur Gea. He’s also 8–2 in his last 10 on hard courts”
“China Open: Sinja Kraus vs Dayana Yastremska https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1118481 #nfa Sinja Kraus to win at 58c She just reached her first WTA 1000 third round, survived Maya Joint in three sets, and was leading Potapova before the retirement And Yastremska has had a rough 2026”
“#nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1123842 Jingshan: Mattia Bellucci vs Lloyd Harris Lloyd Harris to win at 52c Harris is 35–8 on hard in 2026, which is a massive surface edge. He’s also the bigger server at 193 cm, and this Jingshan hard court gives his serve/power a better chance than their previous clay meeting. He’s on a four match winning streak too”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1119763 China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka #nfa Bartunkova to win at 41c She already pushed Sabalenka to the limit in their previous match, winning the first set and nearly closing it in straight sets. Her ability to redirect Aryna’s power and extend rallies gives her a real upset path”
▸Japan Open Tennis Championships (Doubles): Hijikata/Uesugi v Nys/Roger-VasselinNys/Roger-Vasselin @ 42¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1118469 Japan Open Tennis Championships (Doubles): Hijikata/Uesugi vs Nys/Roger-Vasselin #nfa Nys/Roger-Vasselin to win at 42c Currently at a slight disadvantage but were the 2025 Tokyo champions, together they have a 27-20 record this year Won previously 6-2 and 6-4 From what I got they never played against each other before Not expecting a blowout tho as their opp…”
▸Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov v Alejandro TabiloAlejandro Tabilo @ 23¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1113297 Alejandro Tablio to win at 23c Higher ranked and is dominating previous games with 6-2 and 6-1 against Tommy Paul, currently in a somewhat tied game even tho he’s lost the advantage but he can clutch”
“#nfa Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya Blake Ellis to win at 79c Would have entered before but was busy, can’t lose at this point https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1011708 Lmk when you get any calls my telegram is bugging these past few days”
▸US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic v Juan Pablo VarillasJuan Pablo Varillas @ 15¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-898551 Juan Pablo to win at 14c Not the first time he’s made a come back with pressure”
“Winston-Salem Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Benjamin Bonzi #nfa Benjamin Bonzi to win at 41c Why: because he’s French https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-890581”
“Cincinnati Open: Linda Noskova vs Amanda Anisimova #nfa why: odds look good I don’t think she can actually win At 30c https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-870031”
