Showing MMA calls only: 4 counted. The weekly cap and qualification are judged on the whole season; a combo shows here when all its legs are MMA. Form covers every call.
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-0.73u
units · 4 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (4 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-18.3%
per call · vs odds needs 5 calls
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
2–2
50% of 4 (at least 15%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LWWWW
W4 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
MMA4
2–2
-0.73u
-18.2%
4
Season MMA equity curve
4 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
Season record (4)
▸UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert v Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)Fight won by KO/TKO? yes @ 56¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“sports UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card) Fight won by KO/TKO? yes 56c Both fighters are coming off knockout wins and prefer to keep the fight on the feet. Camilo has sharp timing and dangerous counters, while Herbert has real power and can end the fight with one clean shot #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1121264”
▸UFC Fight Night: Allen Frye Jr. v RJ Harris (Heavyweight, Prelims)Fight won by KO/TKO? yes @ 57¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+75%win
“sports UFC Fight Night: Allen Frye Jr. vs RJ Harris (Heavyweight, Prelims) I\'m picking Fight won by KO/TKO - YES @ 57c This is a heavyweight fight with real finishing power on both sides. Harris is coming off a first round TKO win, while Frye Jr. has built all six of his wins by stopping his opponents before the final bell #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1121296”
Posted
Fri, 09 Oct 2026 02:04:09 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Fight won by KO/TKO? yes.
▸UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro v Felipe Franco (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)Fight won by KO/TKO? yes @ 51¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“sports UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs Felipe Franco (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) I'm picking Fight won by KO/TKO - YES @ 51c Both fighters have strong reasons to be aggressive here. Brendson needs a big response after four straight losses, while Felipe is coming off a knockout win and has the counterstriking power to punish any mistake. #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1121292”
▸UFC 332: Natalia Silva v Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)Natalia Silva @ 66¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+52%win
“sports UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) I'm picking Natalia Silva wins 66¢ Reasoning: Natalia is on a great run and her distance control is a big weapon. She uses kicks really well and should be able to stay patient against Wang's pressure. Feels like she can build this win round by round. #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1050223”
▸Dana White's Contender Series: Luca Borando v Ian Escuza (Featherweight, Main Card)Fight won by KO/TKO? yes @ 67¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+49%win
“sports Dana White\'s Contender Series: Luca Borando vs. Ian Escuza (Featherweight, Main Card) Fight won by KO/TKO? YES @ 67¢ Reasoning: Both fighters look to exchange strikes. Borando is the more technical counter striker, while Escuza brings more volume, mixing leg kicks with body shots. With a UFC contract on the line, I expect both to push for a statement performance and see a KO/TKO as a str…”
Posted
Tue, 29 Sep 2026 23:27:41 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Fight won by KO/TKO? yes.
▸UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja v Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)Alexandre Pantoja @ 42¢ → sold 1¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-98%loss
“sports UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) I'm picking Alexandre Pantoja wins 42¢ Reasoning: Pantoja is fully recovered and comes in hungry to win back the belt after the first fight ended early because of his injury. He's the more experienced fighter and defended the title four times. If he can get Van down and take the back, his jiu-jitsu could lead to a submission…”
Posted
Sun, 20 Sep 2026 02:04:34 UTC
Outcome
Closed early by the caller at 1¢, -41¢ on the 42¢ entry.
▸UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield v Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)Fight won by KO/TKO? @ 73¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“sports UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) My pick: Fight won by KO/TKO? Yes 73¢ Reasoning: Both fighters have real power and can end a fight with one shot. Menifield is always dangerous on the feet, while Baraniewski is unbeaten and has finished all nine of his pro wins in the first round, including three straight UFC knockouts. This one has all the sign…”
▸UFC 331: Ozzy Diaz v Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)Gandra to win by KO/TKO @ 72¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+39%win
“sports UFC 331: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims) My pick: Gandra to win by KO/TKO? Yes 72¢ Reasoning: Gandra is a dangerous striker who comes forward looking for the finish from the opening bell. His last two wins both came by first round KO/TKO, so he has the pressure and power to end this one early #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-972409”
Posted
Fri, 18 Sep 2026 18:37:55 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Gandra to win by KO/TKO.
▸UFC Fight Night: Punahele Soriano v Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Main Card)Daniil Donchenko @ 69¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+45%win
“sports UFC Fight Night: Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Main Card) Daniil Donchenko wins Daniil 69¢ Reasoning: Daniil has elite striking, strong takedown defense and is riding a 3 fight win streak. He should work leg kicks early and looks dangerous enough to finish by tko in second round #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-926632”
▸UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac v Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)Vitor Petrino @ 59¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+69%win
“sports UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card) Vitor Petrino wins Reasoning: Petrino is the better and more skilled striker. If he can keep the fight standing and defend Spivac’s takedown attempts, I think he gets the unanimous decision win https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-817945 #nfa”
▸UFC Fight Night: Jamall Emmers v Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)Lerryan Douglas @ 78¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“sports UFC Fight Night: Jamall Emmers vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims) Lerryan Douglas wins Reasoning: Douglas is an exciting prospect coming off five straight wins. He has the sharper boxing and does a great job defending takedowns, so I think he gets the finish by KO in the second round #nfa”
