Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-5.51u
units · 45 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (45 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-12.3%
per call · -4 pts vs odds
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
25–20
56% of 45 (at least 41%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
WLLLL
L4 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Tennis18
8–10
-2.25u
-12.5%
18
Cricket14
10–4
-1.23u
-8.8%
14
Esports7
4–3
-1.12u
-16%
7
Baseball2
0–2
—
—
2 · under 3
Football2
1–1
—
—
2 · under 3
American football1
1–0
—
—
1 · under 3
Basketball1
1–0
—
—
1 · under 3
Season equity curve
45 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
Season record (50)
▸What price will Bitcoin hit in October?not counted: resolved after the season cutoff (Oct 31, 23:59 UTC)↓ 75,000 @ 10.3¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: ↓ 75,000
Reasoning: Bitcoin is facing strong selling pressure today and BTC recently fell to around $77,646.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Emilio Camacho
Reasoning: Camacho is currently unranked and indicating a significant difference in competitive experience.Camacho also won his opener, beating Angel Veliz in two tiebreak sets, so he should not be underestimated.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Naoya Honda
Reasoning: Honda has won three matches in this tournament and owns a respectable 28–23 hard-court record for 2026. He could make the match competitive if his serve is working well.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
Posted
Thu, 29 Oct 2026 07:46:08 UTC
Outcome
Closed early by the caller at 9.4¢, -0.6¢ on the 10¢ entry.
“Pick: Fajing Sun
Reasoning: Sun has a 31–26 hard-court record in 2026. He is comfortable on this surface and can put pressure on his opponent's serve.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Seong-Chan Hong
Reasoning: Hong defeated Yibing Wu in straight sets, so he is capable of putting up a fight. He has also played fewer matches in Seoul, meaning he may be fresher than Kachmazov.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Sho Shimabukuro
Reasoning: Shimabukuro won the Seoul Challenger title in 2025, so he has demonstrated that he can perform well at this venue.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Andrey Rublev (Set 1)
Reasoning: Rublev's historical advantage makes this a competitive match, but Paul's recent form gives him the edge.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Namibia
Reasoning: Namibia are my slight preference because of Erasmus's form and their home advantage. However, check the toss, confirmed playing XIs and live score before making a decision.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Yuta Shimizu
Reasoning: Shimizu has a strong career record on hard courts, giving him an advantage on Ningbo's surface.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Counter-Strike: Nemiga v Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageNemiga (Map 1) @ 56¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Nemiga (Map 1)
Reasoning: Nemiga defeated Legacy 2–0 earlier in the tournament and have shown they can compete with highly ranked teams
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino v Alex MolcanAdrian Mannarino (Set 1) @ 60¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+67%win
“Pick: Adrian Mannarino (Set 1)
Reasoning: Mannarino has much more ATP experience and is comfortable on indoor hard courts. He also defeated Thiago Agustín Tirante in straight sets
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
Posted
Sun, 25 Oct 2026 15:00:43 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Adrian Mannarino (Set 1).
▸Counter-Strike: G2 v Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageAurora Gaming @ 55¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+82%win
“Pick: Aurora Gaming
Reasoning: Aurora are ranked around No. 5, while G2 are around No. 8 in HLTV's team rankings.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili v Stefanos TsitsipasStefanos Tsitsipas @ 55¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Stefanos Tsitsipas won 92% of first-serve points against James Duckworth in his quarterfinal, without facing a break point. I'm picking Stefanos Tsitsipas to win at 55¢ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1240132”
▸Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili v Adrian MannarinoNikoloz Basilashvili @ 50¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+100%win
“Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino Nikoloz Basilashvili has won four consecutive matches at the Almaty tournament, including straight-set victories over Marin Čilić and Facundo Díaz Acosta. I'm picking Nikoloz Basilashvili to win at 50¢ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1230530”
Posted
Fri, 23 Oct 2026 07:03:13 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Nikoloz Basilashvili.
“Jasmine Paolini vs Anhelina Kalinina Kalinina can be dangerous, according to her recent score which is higher. I'm picking up Anhelina Kalinina to win at 44¢ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1212537”
▸New Zealand Women Tour of Australia T20s: Australia Women v New Zealand WomenNew Zealand Women @ 19¢ → sold 0.1¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-99%loss
“Australia Women vs New Zealand Women New Zealand’s best chance is to take early wickets as they are doing right now, build a strong batting partnership, and limit Australia’s scoring in the powerplay. I'm picking New Zealand Women to win at 15¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1182885 #nfa”
Posted
Tue, 20 Oct 2026 08:50:21 UTC
Outcome
Closed early by the caller at 0.1¢, -18.9¢ on the 19¢ entry.
▸Counter-Strike: Honvéd v Vitality Academy (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular SeasonVitality Academy @ 42¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Honvéd vs Vitality Academy (BO1) Vitality Academy won two of their latest three matches, including victories over Elite Klan and Dynamo Eclot Phoenix. Picking Vitality Academy to win at 35¢ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1185685”
“India vs West Indies Shai Hope and Sherfane Rutherford helped chase 250 in the second T20I, so India's bowlers must take early wickets. West Indies to win at 89¢ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1148522”
“Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz Alcaraz recently won the Tokyo title and entered Shanghai on a seven-match winning streak. Carlos Alcaraz to win at 50¢ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1165453”
“Canada vs Nepal In recent match Nepal beat UAE and Oman in Sept and Nepal have key players like Dipendra and others which are good in both bat and ball I'm picking Nepal to win at 72¢ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1131001”
“Juan Carlos Prado vs Joao Lucas Da Silva Prado Angelo reached the semifinal without dropping a set and beat Miguel Tobon 6–2, 6–2 in the quarterfinal. I'm picking Juan Carlos Prado to win at 33¢ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1161753”
▸Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming v Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsAurora Gaming @ 26¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Aurora Gaming vs Vitality Aurora have won four of their last five matches and beat 1win 2–0 in their playoff quarterfinal. XANTARES and Wicadia could make this a close series. I'm picking up Aurora Gaming to win at 26¢ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1159403”
“India vs West Indies Shreyas Iyer is in outstanding form has smashed an unbeaten 102 off 43 balls in the opener, while Ishan Kishan contributed 37. India to win at 40¢ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1119279”
▸Australia A Tour of India Unofficial ODIs: India A v Australia AAustralia A @ 79¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+27%win
“India A vs Australia A Australia A won the toss and chose to bat first in today's match. A strong total would put pressure on India's batting lineup .. Australia A to win at 70¢ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1119276”
▸T20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier B: Malaysia v Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia @ 60¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+67%win
“Malaysia vs Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia's 174-run total showed they can build a competitive score, with Abdul Waheed among their key contributor Saudi Arabia to win at 60¢ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1139116”
“Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Midon is around No. 206, while Aguilar Cardozo is around No. 342.Midon is the No. 7 seed, whereas Aguilar Cardozo came through qualifying. 🥸 Lautaro Midon to win at 50c https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1146639 #nfa”
▸Valorant: Team Vitality v Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions PlayoffsTeam Vitality @ 78¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+28%win
“Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) Vitality's star power are Derke, Chronicle and Jamppi give them significant high-level LAN experience. Team Vitality to win at 50c https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1133589 #nfa”
▸T20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier B: Malaysia v Hong KongMalaysia @ 47¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Malaysia vs Hong Kong Virandeep Singh and Syed Aziz provide contributions with both bat and ball, which is valuable in a T20 for Malaysia. Malaysia to win at 45€ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1133132 #nfa”
▸Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz v James Duckworthnot counted: entry 96¢ above the 90¢ maximumHubert Hurkacz @ 96¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+4%win
“Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Hurkacz won the 2023 Shanghai Masters, so he has already demonstrated that his game works particularly well at this tournament. Hubert Hurkacz to win at 88¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1136515 #nfa”
“Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Rays lead the series 2–0, so they have momentum and can finish the series in Game 3. Tampa Bay Rays to win at 50€ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1113724 #nfa”
Posted
Thu, 08 Oct 2026 01:28:11 UTC
Outcome
Closed early by the caller at 40¢, -16¢ on the 56¢ entry.
“Francesco Maestrelli vs Oliver Tarvet Tarvet comes in with strong momentum, winning his qualifying matches in straight sets and reaching the main draw without dropping a set in Villena. Oliver Tarvet to win at 30€ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1138106”
▸Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann v Kamil MajchrzakKamil Majchrzak @ 61¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak Majchrzak has historically been the more effective hard-court player, and he won his first ATP title this year at 's-Hertogenbosch, beating Alex de Minaur in the final. Kamil Majchrzak to win at 60€ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1136517”
“Nuggets vs. Jazz The Nuggets have Nikola Jokić, giving them a major advantage in playmaking and half-court offense.Denver entered this rematch as a slight favorite despite playing in Utah Nuggets to win at 80€ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1107315”
▸West Indies Women Tour of Zimbabwe T20s: Zimbabwe Women v West Indies WomenWest Indies Women @ 89¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+12%win
“Zimbabwe Women vs West Indies Women West Indies Women batting has been dominant: they chased 97 in 12.5 overs in the first game and 106 in only 9.1 overs in the second. West Indies Women to win at 50€ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1108763”
“USA vs Namibia USA have dominated the recent head-to-head: 5 straight wins against Namibia across their latest listed meetings. USA to win at 60€ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1110420”
“Sumit Nagal vs Luka Mikrut Mikrut won the Genoa Challenger title recently, showing strong current clay form.He also beat Nagal in their only previous meeting, which was also in Braga on clay. Luka Mikrut to win at 75€ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1127469”
Posted
Tue, 06 Oct 2026 16:50:23 UTC
Outcome
Closed early by the caller at 79¢, +0¢ on the 79¢ entry.
“Estonia vs. Iceland I think that's a very tight matchup: the last four meetings have all ended in draws, and Estonia are unbeaten in their last five matches. Iceland won their latest match 3–0 against Bulgaria, while Estonia beat Luxembourg 1–0. Iceland to win at 60€ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1068451”
“India vs West Indies India have won 20 of the 31 T20Is between the teams, including the last T20I meeting at the 2026 World Cup. India to win at 80€ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1108759”
▸Samsun: Aysegul Mert v Viktoria Hruncakovanot counted: entry 97¢ above the 90¢ maximumViktoria Hruncakova @ 97¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+3%win
“Aysegul Mert vs Viktoria Hruncakova Hruncakova has a much stronger recent hard-court record and substantially more experience at this level. Viktoria Hruncakova to win at 90€ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1131667”
▸Australia A Tour of India Unofficial ODIs: India A v Australia AIndia A @ 82¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Sports : India A vs Australia A India A has the advantage of home conditions in Puducherry, where all three ODIs are being played. Their batting lineup is strong and India A won the preceding unofficial Test series 1–0. Team India A to win at 70€ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1108776”
“Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur Djokovic has beaten Zverev and Medvedev on the way to the final, showing he can still handle elite opposition. Picking team Novak Djokovic at 80€ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1138100”
“Korea Republic vs. Uzbekistan I'm picking Korea Republic at 60€ South Korea is ranked 32nd vs Uzbekistan 59th, and have lost only once in their last 14 meetings. South Korea have players such as Son Heung-min and Kim Min-jae, giving them more individual quality. #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1063924”
▸Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Kyrian Jacquet v Rei SakamotoKyrian Jacquet @ 59¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Sports : Kyrian Jacquet vs Rei Sakamoto Jacquet is the higher-ranked player: No. 76 vs No. 137 and Both players won their opening Shanghai qualifying match, but Jacquet did it in straight sets against Tianhui Zhang. Picking team Kyrian Jacquet at 60€ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1136508”
▸LoL: Team Vitality v RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group StageTeam Vitality @ 88¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+14%win
“Sports : Team Vitality vs RED Canids Vitality's lineup includes experienced players such as Carzzy, giving them an advantage in a BO3 where adaptation matters.They bounced back strongly by beating GAM Esports 2–0 in their previous DCGI match. I'm Picking Team Vitality at 70€ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1136994”
▸Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageTeam Falcons @ 61¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+64%win
“Sports : Team Falcons vs Natus Vincer Falcons have the stronger recent results, including wins over Aurora and TYLOO, while NAVI have also been inconsistent despite some strong wins.Falcons are currently ranked #5, while NAVI are around #10. I'm Picking Team Falcons at 55€ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1139329”
“Sports : Falcons vs. Saints I think that Falcons are absolutely capable of winning this. Atlanta looked excellent in their 35–14 win over Green Bay, with Bijan Robinson producing a huge game and the offense finally clicking with Michael Penix Jr. My pick is Falcons @70€ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-909452”
▸West Indies Women Tour of Zimbabwe T20s: Zimbabwe Women v West Indies WomenWest Indies Women @ 88¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+14%win
“Sports : Zimbabwe Women vs West Indies Women Zimbabwe's batting has been the biggest concern. They struggled to reach 100 in the opener, while West Indies chased the target comfortably.West Indies have a stronger overall bowling unit, particularly their spin options such as Karishma I'm picking West Indies at 90€ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1108771”
“Cricket : Bhutan vs Myanmar Bhutan have a more established recent record in international T20 cricket and they have a balanced squad with several all-rounders, which is valuable in T20 Picking team Bhutan 80€ #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1110413”
“Sports : Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers I think Dodgers also have the deeper postseason rotation and bullpen, which is particularly important in a playoff game. So i am picking Los Angeles Dodgers of the win 40€ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1119058 #nfa”
“Sports : Titans vs. Ravens Ravens are currently in the stronger position, and I’d give them roughly a 75–80% chance to win and Derrick Henry is running effectively and has already score. Picking team Ravens 90€ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-909432 #nfa”
