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Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
GurkReturning: called in Season 1
@_gurk_ · every call recorded, losses included
Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record
Showing esports calls only: 1 counted. The weekly cap and qualification are judged on the whole season; a combo shows here when all its legs are esports. Form covers every call.
ProfitEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-1u
units · 1 priced calls
ROIAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (1 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-100%
per call · vs odds needs 5 calls
RecordWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
0–1
0% of 1 (at least 0%)
FormMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
WLWLW
W1 streak
| Sport | Record | Units | ROI | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esports1 | 0–1 | — | — | 1 · under 3 |
Season Esports equity curve
1 graded
Season record (1)
LoL: Dplus KIA v T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group StageT1 @ 57¢Traded on JupiterMarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: T1 Reasoning: T1 to win based on their match history and stats. T1 leads 7-3 against Dplus KIA past 12 months. They should statistically win the game #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
- Posted
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 19:55:17 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Past calls (15)
Earlier calls, including Season 1: see the Season 1 record and the Hall of Fame. Calls after Season 2: the Season 3 record.
Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy v STATE (BO3) - European Pro League Regular PlayoffsSTATE @ 74¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick - State 77c Reason - <:PepeStonedCSRep:885386177736224788> #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-866921”
- Posted
- Tue, 18 Aug 2026 10:18:46 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers v Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge GroupNongshim Esports Academy @ 81¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick - Nongshim 79c Reason - <:LOL:910808112800346172> #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-848825”
- Posted
- Tue, 18 Aug 2026 10:18:00 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Valorant: G2 Gozen v Habos Babos (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA PlayoffsG2 Gozen @ 75¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+33%win
“Pick - G2 Gozen 76c Reason - tight game 1-1 now, i think G2 pulls trough #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-861036”
- Posted
- Mon, 17 Aug 2026 19:10:58 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for G2 Gozen.
Counter-Strike: maybe v Spirit Academy Green (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 Playoffsmaybe @ 79¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+27%win
“Pick - maybe 81c Reason - <a:hmcookyell:1509626669340819507> #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-864156”
- Posted
- Mon, 17 Aug 2026 19:09:28 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for maybe.
Counter-Strike: Revise v FORZE Reload (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-InFORZE Reload @ 86¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick - FORZE 86c Reason - <:moon:896365677663907850> #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-861858”
- Posted
- Mon, 17 Aug 2026 19:07:54 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming v SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsLPH Gaming @ 71¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+41%win
“Pick - LPH 71c Reason - <:KRKuriThink:639090890614505472> #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-861154”
- Posted
- Mon, 17 Aug 2026 14:27:08 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for LPH Gaming.
Valorant: NPC Team v Looking For Laburo (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Latin America South Main Event PlayoffsLooking For Laburo @ 86¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+16%win
“Pick - Looking For Laburo 86c Reason - <:moon:896365677663907850> #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-861935”
- Posted
- Mon, 17 Aug 2026 13:07:27 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Looking For Laburo.
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy v ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Dex-Zero Tenacity @ 38¢ → sold 0.5¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-99%loss
“Pick - ex-Zero 37c Reason - underdog #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-862435”
- Posted
- Mon, 17 Aug 2026 11:57:15 UTC
- Outcome
- Closed early by the caller at 0.5¢, -37.5¢ on the 38¢ entry.
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION v Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-InVexar @ 73¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+37%win
“Pick - Vexar 79c Reason - <a:peepoBlushExcited:1124758847463096390> #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-861856”
- Posted
- Mon, 17 Aug 2026 11:53:59 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Vexar.
Counter-Strike: ENCE v Esport BERG (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsENCE @ 89¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+12%win
“Pick - ENCE 89c Reason - 🤺 #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-861153”
- Posted
- Mon, 17 Aug 2026 11:52:15 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for ENCE.
LoL: FlyQuest v Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonCloud9 @ 83¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+20%win
“Pick - Cloud9 86c Reason - ☁️ #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-828033”
- Posted
- Sun, 16 Aug 2026 21:19:36 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Cloud9.
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports v UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Group CUNiTY esports @ 83¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+20%win
“Pick - UNiTY 83c Reason - probability and history #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-854627”
- Posted
- Sun, 16 Aug 2026 15:08:28 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for UNiTY esports.
Counter-Strike: Honvéd v mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsmellren @ 86¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+16%win
“Pick - mellren 86c Reason - probability and history #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-856247”
- Posted
- Sun, 16 Aug 2026 15:06:03 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for mellren.
LoL: LOUD v Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonLOUD @ 89¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+12%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-835657 I pick LOUD at 89c, probability say they will win #NFA”
- Posted
- Sun, 16 Aug 2026 14:24:29 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for LOUD.
LoL: Disguised v Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonTeam Liquid -1.5 games @ 90¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+11%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-828017 I'm picking Liquid -1.5 at 90c, idk what im doing #NFA”
- Posted
- Sat, 15 Aug 2026 20:57:26 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Team Liquid -1.5 games.