Showing basketball calls only: 17 counted. The weekly cap and qualification are judged on the whole season; a combo shows here when all its legs are basketball. Form covers every call.
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-1.52u
units · 17 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (17 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-8.9%
per call · -5 pts vs odds
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
6–11
35% of 17 (at least 17%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LLLWW
W2 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Basketball17
6–11
-1.52u
-8.9%
17
Season Basketball equity curve
17 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
“Pick: Lakers -6.5
Reasoning: Lakers has won Most of their head to head games with more than 7 points difference. Should be same in this one too
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Under 214.5
Reasoning: Most of both teams matches have under 215 points total . Average of their last 5 head to head is around 212 points in total
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Jazz +10.5
Reasoning: Jazz won their last head to head game. I think if spurs should win this, the margin would be less than the 10.5 range
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Nuggets
Reasoning: Better squad than the pelicans . Had won most of their head to head matches. So it’s a odd to tilt to
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Over 238.5
Reasoning: Their last match had over 243 points in total, I think they replicate something of such in this game
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Knicks -10.5
Reasoning: Spread -11 because I feel Knicks should be to dominate the weak side , Bulls . Bulls form is bad
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Under 221.5
Reasoning: Their last five games had 4 out of them under 220 points in total. Going with under 222 here
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Pistons -13.5
Reasoning: Pistons has dominated hornets for long, and I still believe they would do so in this game as well
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Over 256.5
Reasoning: Cavaliers is in a better form and has won most of their h2h games with over 255 points most of the time.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Over 238.5
Reasoning: Average of their last 5 games is over 239 points , so this should be able to get over 239
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Under 235.5
Reasoning: Average of their last five games is 223 points. I don’t expect much from them in this
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Over 250.5
Reasoning: Aggregate of their last 5 meetings totals was 241 , with the most recent ones over 250
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Over 230.5
Reasoning: Most of their head to head games have produced over 230 points in total. I expect same here
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Hawks vs. Spurs Pick - Spurs @ 71c reason - hawks was struggling at the pre season opener with grizzlies, and Spurs are coming off their first run to the Finals in the Victor Wembanyama era. Let’s see #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1116717”
“Celtics vs. Cavaliers Pick - U 223.5 @ 51c reason - I think for this pre-season game, over 224 points would be overestimating how fast paced and points focused the game would be. #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1116715”
“Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics Pick - O 164.5 @ 63c reason - momentum started off strong with ATL in the lead 17 points. And their previous games have had over 165 total points in total. #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1081044”
