Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-2.46u
units · 4 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (4 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-61.5%
per call · vs odds needs 5 calls
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
1–3
25% of 4 (at least 5%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LLWL
L1 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Football3
1–2
-1.46u
-48.7%
3
Esports1
0–1
—
—
1 · under 3
Season equity curve
4 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
“UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE Fri, Oct 2 · 2:45 PM (-04) France vs Italy France top the group having two wins from two and with a squad brimming with talent they should blitz past the Italians. France @68c #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1047243”
“UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE Belgium vs Türkiye Both teams are coming off a loss with Turkey, having lost 4-1, the eager of the two to get a point. Overall I think Belgium pose enough firepower to hold off and win the Turks. Belgium @65c #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1047244”
“UEFA LEAGUE Greece vs. Netherlands The Greek are bouncing off a shock win over a German team in transition but I believe the Dutch might pose too much firepower for them Netherlands @46c https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1042355 #NFA”
▸Counter-Strike: FaZe v Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 PlayoffsFaZe @ 58¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Nemiga (BO3) - FaZe clearly favorites having the upper hand on head to head. FaZe also ranks higher on VRS FaZe @58c https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1038938 #nfa”