Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record · 2 last-day calls on a match after the close count in Season 3
Showing sports calls only: 5 counted. The weekly cap and qualification are judged on the whole season; a combo shows here when all its legs are sports. Form covers every call.
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-0.21u
units · 5 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (5 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-4.3%
per call · +12 pts vs odds
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
3–2
60% of 5 (at least 23%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
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W7 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Basketball5
3–2
-0.21u
-4.2%
5
Season Sports equity curve
5 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
Combos (3)
A combo is one 1u bet that wins only if every leg wins (a void leg drops out). It counts in the totals above like any other call. Up to 15 combos count each week, and each one uses one of the 30 weekly calls.
“Pick: Trail Blazers
Reasoning: NBA: Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz
Portland is 3-1 and favoured by about 6.5 points, with Avdija, Lillard and Holiday as three of the top five projected scorers on the floor.
Utah is 1-4 on a three-game home losing streak, turns the ball over on 16.4% of its possessions (24th) and is thin up front. I expect Portland to win.
Picking Trail Blazers
#nfa
#nfa (s…”
“Pick: Rockets
Reasoning: NBA: Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets
Houston is 3-0 and beat Atlanta 121-114 in Atlanta on Oct 24, so it already knows how to handle this matchup.
The Rockets are at home for the rematch and favoured by about 5 points, with Durant leading the scoring. I expect them to win again.
Picking Rockets
#nfa
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”